When will China invade Taiwan
106
1.8kṀ23k
2050
7%
Before 2026
17%
Before 2027
30%
Before 2028
40%
Before 2029
43%
Before 2030
56%
Before 2035
62%
Before 2040
72%
Before 2050
Resolved
NO
Before 2025

Must be an attempt at invading the main island.

A blockade that results in Chinese troops on the main island (eg after a Taiwanese surrender) would count. It would resolve to the date that the blockade started (even though surrender would be after this).

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