When will China invade Taiwan

106

1.8kṀ23k

2050

Before 2026

17%

Before 2027

30%

Before 2028

40%

Before 2029

43%

Before 2030

56%

Before 2035

62%

Before 2040

72%

Before 2050

Resolved

Before 2025

Must be an attempt at invading the main island.

A blockade that results in Chinese troops on the main island (eg after a Taiwanese surrender) would count. It would resolve to the date that the blockade started (even though surrender would be after this).

China Taiwan potential conflict

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