Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

122

1.1kṀ13k

2030

42%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Does reunification following a blockade/military action short of invasion count?

Does seizure of an outlying island (Kinmen, Matsu, Penghu) count?

Does seizure of Taiping Island in the SCS count?

bought Ṁ10 NO

great questions

Related questions

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025

+4% 1d13% chance

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

Related questions

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules