Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

137

Ṁ1.1kṀ19k

2030

39%

chance

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1M

ALL

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China Taiwan potential conflict

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/09/26/russia-china-weapons-sales-air-assault/

Does reunification following a blockade/military action short of invasion count?

Does seizure of an outlying island (Kinmen, Matsu, Penghu) count?

Does seizure of Taiping Island in the SCS count?

bought Ṁ10 NO

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Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

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If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

When will China invade Taiwan?

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

Related questions

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

When will China invade Taiwan?

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

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