Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
Plus
24
Ṁ28852099
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same as this Market exept for 2100 https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10880/china-to-invade-taiwan-before-2030/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
23% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
35% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
40% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
39% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025? (tentative criteria)
13% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
21% chance