If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
36
113
Ṁ1.4KṀ1.2K
2026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
Get Ṁ200 play money
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