If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
55
1.2kṀ59482026
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
37% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
16% chance
Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
39% chance
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
22% chance
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
40% chance
When will China invade Taiwan?
Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
When will China invade Taiwan
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan while Xi Jinping is in power?
40% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
43% chance