If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
44
1.2kṀ25582026
15%
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If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
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