Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?
7
100Ṁ427Dec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
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Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan or its government by December 31, 2026.
Background
China considers Taiwan part of its territory, and Xi Jinping has emphasised reunification as a core objective, while Taiwan operates as a self-governing democracy with its own government and military. .
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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