If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan, will exports from China to the US+EU drop by 66%?
5
160Ṁ902050
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if China doesn't launch a full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2050.
Resolves YES if the combined value US+EU imports from China in the first full calendar year following the start of the invasion is at least 66% less than the last full calendar year before the start of the invasion.
probably due to economic sanctions e.g. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/imports-from-russia
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345775/eu-oil-and-petroleum-imports-from-russia/
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