If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
92
2.1kṀ6100
2030
47%
chance
  • Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China

  • Resolves No otherwise

  • Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan

"Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force.

  • If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes

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