Will the FTC attempt to block a TikTok acquisition, if one is attempted?
5
20
180
2025
36%
chance

N/A if it’s clear TikTok will not be sold, or not sale happens by the end of 2025.

Otherwise, resolves YES if the FTC attempts to block the acquisition via litigation, and NO if they do not and the acquisition succeeds. If the acquisition fails for other reasons, this market stays open until one of the resolution / N/A criteria is met.

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