If TikTok is sold, who will buy it?
Basic
10
Ṁ513
Jan 1
13%
Meta
9%
Alphabet
20%
Microsoft
11%
Oracle
47%
Other

Otherwise resolves PROB if TikTok shuts down or continues as normal etc. Close date is arbitrary. Feel free to add answers

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So, looks like it wasn't sold?

How will you resolve in the case of multiple investors?

@IsaacLiu I just made a market that can resolve to multiple: https://manifold.markets/IsaacLiu/as-of-april-2025-will-the-following

sold Ṁ9 YES

For those voting other, who you think it'll be?

@DanMan314 thanks for that. Why didn't that show up when I searched "if TikTok"?

@benjaminIkuta Oracle has an obvious reason to buy it -- state privacy laws like California's "Delete Act" are going to make their 3rd party data broker business much harder, so they get squeezed out of the marketing business unless they have a first-party service. Delete Act goes into effect in 2026 and other data broker limitations take effect sooner (And Oracle is already part of "Project Texas" so has much of the info they will need for due diligence on the acquisition)

@DonMarti7bd2 why don't you add the option

@benjaminIkuta @DonMarti7bd2 I just added the option

@duck_master Great!

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