Will the Supreme Court accept a case related to the “TikTok ban” before EOY 2025?
Mini
5
185
2026
56%
chance

Resolves “YES” if the Supreme Court grants certiorari for a case related to the TikTok ban (e.g. a case related to the “Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act,” part of H.R.8038, or any similar bill with provisions restricting TikTok’s availability in the US that is subsequently enacted). Will resolve “YES” regardless of the disposition, including if the case is ultimately dismissed as improvidently granted.

Resolves “NO” if the Supreme Court does not grant certiorari for such a case.

Resolves December 31, 2025 (essentially asking if such a case will be granted for or during the Supreme Court’s October Term 2024).

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