Who will buy TikTok?
85
1.1kṀ8063
Jan 1
47%
Other
19%
Oracle
15%
Silver Lake
15%
MGX

If TikTok shuts down without being sold, I will resolve Other

This will not resolve until a deal is completely closed.

  • Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple entities purchase TikTok, this market will resolve proportionally based on each entity's ownership stake percentage. For example, if Oracle owns 15%, Silver Lake owns 15%, and MGX owns 15%, each would resolve to 15%.

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bought Ṁ30 YES

Under the agreement, American and global investors including cloud computing giant Oracle, private equity group Silver Lake and Abu Dhabi-based MGX will hold an 80.1% stake in the new TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, while ByteDance will retain 19.9%.

exact stake of each is not disclosed yet though

bought Ṁ250 NO

@chris It resolves to the ownership stake out of all owners, correct? So Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each owning 15% would cause them to resolve to 15%?

How will you resolve in the case of multiple investors?

Just made a version that can resolve to multiple: https://manifold.markets/IsaacLiu/as-of-april-2025-will-the-following

@IsaacLiu what about this current market? what happens to it in that case? (I propose, if it is known, for it to resolve to answers proportional to how much of the company they own)

@Bayesian that seems reasonable

How does it resolve if it shuts down?

@varvalle other

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