If SCOTUS takes on a case over TikTok in 2024, will they rule in favor of TikTok?
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6
68
2026
34%
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In all likelihood, this would be a lawsuit over H.R.7521, but any case that is clearly about TikTok would count.

Broad tech-related cases like NetChoice would not qualify.

If a specific lawsuit emerges, I will make more detailed resolution criteria, but broadly a ruling striking down key parts of H.R.7521 would be sufficient for a YES resolution.

If no case is taken on by the end of 2024, this market resolves N/A. The case doesn't need to conclude in 2024, just be taken on.

See also: /DanMan314/will-scotus-take-on-a-case-over-tik

/DanMan314/who-will-win-the-tiktok-vs-the-us-g

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