Will Rishi Sunak still be leader of the Conservative Party on 1st January 2025?
10
27
230
2025
11%
chance

This market resolves to “Yes” if Sunak is still leader of the Conservative Party on January 1st 2025, and “No” otherwise. Note that he must still be leader for this market’s purpose, so if he is ousted before then the market resolves to “No” at that time even if he is somehow re-chosen as leader before January 1st 2025.

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bought Ṁ10 of NO

I assume he’s stepping down when he loses the election