Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least 3 full years?
14
47
Ṁ1.5KṀ270
2025
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "YES" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 1095 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance. Thus resolves on October 25 2025.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Rishi Sunak face a Conservative Vote of No Confidence before the next general election?
33% chance
Will Rishi Sunak still be leader of the Conservative Party on 1st January 2025?
22% chance
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as leader of the Conservative Party before the next UK general election?
25% chance
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st July 2024?
11% chance
Will Rishi Sunak win a Conservative Party Confidence Vote?
64% chance
Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least two years?
27% chance
[Metaculus] Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024?
93% chance
Who will be the Prime Minister of the U.K. after Rishi Sunak’s successor?
If Rishi Sunak is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK general election, will the Conservative Party win?
11% chance