Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Rishi Sunak?
23
228
865
2027
69%
Keir Starmer
8%
Penny Mordaunt
6%
Priti Patel
4%
Grant Shapps
3%
Kemi Badenoch
3%
Robert Jenrick
1.6%
Other
1.6%
Boris Johnson
1.5%
Tom Tugendhat

I will resolve to the name of the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom after Rishi Sunak. I will extend this market as long as Sunak remains British PM.

There are a few markets on this already, but they all use the bad multiple-choice market type, so I wanted to make a new one! There are also some binary markets which think Keir Starmer has a pretty high chance, but why not have the full probability distribution here.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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