Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Rishi Sunak?
30
1kṀ14kresolved Jul 5
100%99.1%
Keir Starmer
0.0%
Boris Johnson
0.0%
Penny Mordaunt
0.0%
Kemi Badenoch
0.0%
David Cameron
0.0%
James Cleverly
0.0%
Suella Braverman
0.2%
Priti Patel
0.1%
Grant Shapps
0.1%
Tom Tugendhat
0.2%
Robert Jenrick
0.1%Other
I will resolve to the name of the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom after Rishi Sunak. I will extend this market as long as Sunak remains British PM.
There are a few markets on this already, but they all use the bad multiple-choice market type, so I wanted to make a new one! There are also some binary markets which think Keir Starmer has a pretty high chance, but why not have the full probability distribution here.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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