If Rishi Sunak is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK general election, will the Conservative Party win?
22
233
480
2025
11%
chance
Boris Johnson out, Liz Truss becomes Prime Minister of the UK.
Sep 6
Liz Truss announces resignation and Rishi Sunak is elected unopposed as leader of the Conservative Party.
-25.0%
on
Oct 20

This resolves N/A if Rishi Sunak is not the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next general election, currently scheduled for the 2nd May 2024, YES if the first government formed after that election is a Conservative majority or minority government or a coalition government where Conservatives make up a plurality of the seats in the coalition that forms the goverment, and NO otherwise.

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