In @ScottAlexander's article reviewing 2023 predictions and giving 2028 predictions, linked here, he lists:

At least 350,000 people in the US are regularly (at least monthly) talking to an AI advertised as a therapist or coach. I will judge this as true if some company involved reports numbers, or if I hear about it as a cultural phenomenon an amount that seems proportionate with this number: 5%

He then embeds a Manifold market he made which currently lists that prediction near 50 or 60%. That's pretty different!

Any statement made by Scott by end of Monday, February 27 that this 5% prediction was a mistake is sufficient to resolve this market YES, even just a comment on Manifold.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.