If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 1% or less?
10
62
230
2031
19%
chance

See https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mostly-skeptical-thoughts-on-the. Resolves N/A if Scott Alexander doesn't do it.

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percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots” Does this specifically exclude chatbots that people intentionally follow?

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