Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
85
200
1.6K
2030
3%
chance

Anything highly credible, such as what happened with SBF. Doesn't need to be legally charged.

This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Sort by:
DavidBolin avatar
David Bolin

Does keeping the $40,000 from the Amazon associates bug count?

nmehndir avatar
Naman

@DavidBolin what was that?

johnleoks avatar
johnleoks
Comment hidden
AlQuinn avatar
Al Quinnbought Ṁ5 of YES

Betting YES For the memes

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King

I've created a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.

JacekLach avatar
Jacek Lach

'Found' meaning convicted, accused in a plausible manner? what if the fraud is minor, does not get prosecuted, but is discovered / admitted after the statute of prosecution expires?

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King

Anything highly plausible, such as the current accusations about SBF.

ManifoldDream avatar

Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition