Shortly after market close, I will post a poll on Manifold asking "Do you personally believe that Scott Alexander is a highly unethical person, or otherwise have a strongly negative opinion of him?" Three options:

• Yes

• No

• I don't know enough about him to have a meaningful opinion

I will resolve this market to the fraction of "Yes" responses / "No" responses.

The poll will be limited to one response per manifold account, and will be anonymous.

This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.

Nov 21, 12:58pm: At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users have a strongly negative opinion of Scott Alexander? → At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will have a strongly negative opinion of Scott Alexander?