Scandal markets for EA related things will unfairly tank someone's reputation before 2023, or otherwise seem negative EV in retrospect because of drama caused or changed perception of EA.

Effective Altruism•Whistleblower Markets

399

Ṁ3.7K

Ṁ690

resolved Jan 4

Resolved

ALL

e.g https://manifold.markets/group/scandal-markets

This is likely just going to be up to my personal take, but I welcome others' takes on how to think about this.

Note: This market will resolve ambiguously if I am confident that someone takes a large position and the attempts to use other markets to cause problems.

Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 am

Get Ṁ200 play money

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5 Comments

27 Holders

124 Trades

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predicted NO

sold Ṁ2 of YES

Selling my YES shares - I originally read this to be in 2023, not before 2023. I think they're likely to cause problems, but there's not enough time in the next month and a half.

@Gabrielle Yep, I had meant it to be what you originally intended, but screwed up the date of closure, and wanted to accurately reflect what I had made the close date ( I now know you can change the close date. I'm new to making markets)

I made another market for in 2023 for what it's worth

@Gabrielle https://manifold.markets/ChanaMessinger/scandal-markets-for-ea-related-thin-1b0b7fec0cfc@ChanaMessinger

Scandal markets for EA related things will unfairly tank someone's reputation before 2023, or otherwise seem negative EV in retrospect because of drama caused or changed perception of EA., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition