Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027
25
1kṀ9002027
82%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Either a law restricting AI availability or development, or government agency regulation. National restrictions on investment or ownership do not trigger true. Licensing or management requirements do trigger true. Export restrictions do not trigger true.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing)
7% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
5% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
15% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
36% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
15% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny some entities)
31% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries)
14% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
6% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
23% chance