Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?
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36
1.8k
2031
15%
chance

Resolves positively if members of the effective altruism community create a university that, as an explicit mission, has values / degrees that are focused in achieving goals considered part of the effective altruism worldview.

Effective altruism need not be specifically mentioned, but I will use my subjective judgement if need be to determine whether the newly-created university is sufficiently EA-coded to merit a Yes resolution.

2023-01-07: I sold my shares and will no longer be trading in this market to avoid resolution conflict-of-interests.

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This definitely seems like something that becomes less likely in light of the FTX fallout.

less effective than an ea student group, vocational school/bootcamp, elementary school in africa, or convincing a harvard or oxford to shill ea for us

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