Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?
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For this to resolve positivly, the general trend in EA has to shift away from utilitarianism and towards some other moral philosophy. (It can still be consequentialist.) Not every EA must renounce utilitarianism, it's ok if there's still a lot of discussion about it. But it can't be the main "thing" that EA is known for anymore.
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