Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before end of 2025?
8
150Ṁ251
Dec 31
14%
chance

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/54vAiSFkYszTWWWv4/doing-ea-better-1#Democratisation

EA institutions should be democratised within 3 years, with strategic, funding, and hiring policy decisions being made via democratic processes rather than by the institute director or CEO

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/zuqpqqFoue5LyutTv/the-ea-community-does-not-own-its-donors-money

Doing EA Better specifically mentions democratizing the EA Funds program within Effective Ventures. This seems like a reasonable compromise.

  • Update 2025-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on whether there is an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before end of 2025 (previously there was a mismatch between title and resolution date).

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There’s a title/resolution date mismatch.

@TobiasH thanks! amended. should have specified "end of 2025"

predictedNO

I heard through the grapevine that ea funds leadership isn’t currently planning to “democratise the EA Funds program”.

predictedNO

do you consider impact markets a concrete democratized mechanism?

@harfe yep i would!

@error404 I just sold my stake. Impact markets could be much easier than the thing doingeabetter wants to do

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