Poll closes when we get agi
https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
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@TheAllMemeingEye You should decide based on how accurate you feel it is since there isn’t really much else to go on.
@BooLightning is it asking what percentage of the time between now and what the countdown currently says equals the discrepancy between the countdown and our own estimate?
@TheAllMemeingEye Yes that would work, but it’s less about how accurate it is at any given time and more about how accurate you feel it is overall.
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