Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
71
1.1kṀ4839
Dec 31
44%
chance

This is comparing accuracy of the AI model vs Manifold users on a 'benchmark' selection of objective markets'.

Inspired by the Autocast competition: https://forecasting.mlsafety.org/

Close date updated to 2026-01-01 12:59 am

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy