Will an AI system beat human performance in Trackmania Tool-Assisted Speedrunning by the end of 2025?
12
1kṀ4856
Dec 31
5%
chance

I suspect that this is a very difficult problem for an AI to solve. It requires advanced planning and game knowledge that I don't think that current AI paradigms are capable of.

Videos:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzqq8I3JFz4

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9w_PrEOeMjw

Spreadsheet of best TAS times:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R1N4mQkRyQemJgDAGh54v9_n4fLW4Z3EGp71xrIBRIY/edit#gid=0

This question will resolve true if an AI is able to beat or equal 50% of human-created TAS across the TMUF/TMNF Nadeo campaign maps at any point before December 31st 2025.

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