When will Russia capture Myrnohrad?
15
Ṁ1kṀ4.7kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
76%
Before April
58%
Before March
6%
Before February
1.5%
Before January 16th
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Myrnohrad by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Myrnohrad will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
See https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-myrnohrad-by for the full rules.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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