Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES when Russian forces establish full military control over Sloviansk, Donetsk Oblast. Resolution requires Russian forces to occupy the city with no significant Ukrainian military presence remaining.

Resolution sources:

• Confirmation from: (at least 3 of these) Suriyakmaps, Kalibrated, Military Summary, DPA, AMK

• Official statements from Ukrainian/Russian military command

• Map shaded red on ISW map

• Major international news outlets covering the conflict

The market resolves NO if Ukraine maintains control of Sloviansk or if a peace agreement is reached that leaves the city under Ukrainian control.