When will Ukraine capture Kupiansk?
2
100Ṁ115
2027
years
months
days
hours
minutes
seconds
50%
By the end of 2025
67%
By the end of 2026
77%
By the end of 2027

Resolution criteria

Each option will resolve YES if, at any time before the stated deadline, the Armed Forces of Ukraine militarily capture the city of Kupyansk.

In order to trigger a YES resolution, the Armed Forces of Ukraine must simultaneously control the Kupiansk City Council building (49.713107, 37.613362) and Kupiansk bus station (49.709291, 37.611808) according to a majority of the following sources:

Each option will otherwise resolve NO once the stated deadline passes. If Ukraine has gained control of the city by diplomatic means without capturing it militarily, the option will still resolve NO.

Clarifications

If a resolution source fails to update for 30 consecutive days, it may be removed as a resolution source. A majority of the remaining sources will then be required for a YES resolution.

The precise deadline for each option is 23:00:00 UTC on the final day of the stated year.

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