When will Russia capture Pokrovsk?
20
Ṁ1kṀ14kresolved Mar 3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
NOBefore February
Resolved
NOBefore January 16th
Resolved
YESBefore March
Resolved
YESBefore April
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
See https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-september-30 for the full rules.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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