When will Russia capture Pokrovsk?
19
Ṁ1kṀ8.2kApr 1
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
Before January 16th
2%
Before February
10%
Before March
60%
Before April
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
See https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-september-30 for the full rules.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will Russia capture Myrnohrad?
When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?
When will Russia capture Sloviansk?
6/21/27
Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
22% chance
When, if ever, will Russia control Konstantinovka?
5/30/26
When will Ukraine capture Kupiansk?
6/29/28
Will Russia take Poltava by EOY 2028?
19% chance
Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
72% chance
Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?
16% chance