In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?

Question

Nuclear tests and military drills ar not considered valid

Only a nuclear bomb detonated during an open conflict

Users can add a city or a country or a region

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Iran, followed by Russia and Ukraine are most likely. See the market for live updates (32 traders, as of Apr 8, 2026).