Will a nuclear weapon be used by 2030 | Manifold

Will a nuclear weapon be used by 2030

15

100Ṁ450

2030

71%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve to YES, If any nuclear weapon is used before or in 2030.

This includes weapons not used in war. Such as in a test.
This includes smaller yield weapons, that are not necessarily as bombastic as an intercontinental ballistic missiles, (what's important is the payload)
This DOES NOT include nuclear powered weapons, such as air-craft carriers or submarines (as they don't even fall under my definition of a weapon, and are considered weapon platforms)

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