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@AndrewG Resolves NO, since Haley dropped out today.

@AndrewG does the close date have any significance?

@mattyb no

look at this exit polling. NH may be one of the most pro-Nikki states, and she’s only barely hitting 25% for registered Republicans.

I can’t see this hitting 25% nationally when she’s only at 25% in maybe her most favorable region.

It resolves NO if she becomes the nominee?

@mattyb I mean, if it hasn't already resolved YES (this is in some degenerate edge case where trump drops out, 10 people enter, and she wins the nomination while continuing to poll under 25% the entire time)