Will Wagner Group pull out of Bakhmut within a week (May 12th)?
Wars•Ukraine-Russia war•Ukraine•Bakhmut
26
174
Ṁ490
resolved May 13
Resolved
NO

Yevgeny Prigozhin: Wagner Group boss says he will pull troops out of Bakhmut

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65493008

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predicted YES

If a Ukrainian counter offensive „pushes“ them out, would this resolve YES?

predicted NO

@MaxPayne I think they would have to have a semi-controlled pull out, not just a rout.

predicted YES

@MaxPayne Still some hope for my investments here: https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2023-05-11/russias-wagner-boss-prigozhin-ukrainian-offensive-has-started-around-bakhmut-flanks

bought Ṁ250 of NO

Russia's Wagner group appears to do U-turn on Bakhmut withdrawal (yahoo.com)
Wagner group signals it will stay in Bakhmut after threat to quit (cnbc.com)
Russia’s Wagner group appears to ditch plans for withdrawal from Bakhmut - The Globe and Mail

predicted NO

Accurate title. nice update.

predicted NO

waiting till may 9. see what they do.

predicted NO

Ukraine says no sign of Russia’s Wagner force Bakhmut withdrawal | Conflict News | Al Jazeera

bought Ṁ50 of YES

https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1654962737494016001#m

All troops, or is a partial pull out sufficient for this market to resolves yes?

predicted NO

@AlexbGoode With it being only a week a partial withdrawal is enough.

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