Will hostilities between the warring factions in Sudan resume within 5 weeks after the start of the ceasefire?
8
85
150
resolved Jun 4
Resolved
YES

YES = If according to reliable sources, there's a resumption of conflict that's similar in scale to fighting before the ceasefire started. Isolated incidents will be ignored if they don't lead to a resumption of the conflict.

NO = There are no reports of resumption of the conflict at any time during the 5 weeks after the temporary ceasefire starts

More on the temporary ceasefire:

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/warring-factions-sudan-agree-temporary-ceasefire-us-saudi-mediators-sa-rcna85440

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ65
2Ṁ50
3Ṁ19
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ0
Sort by:
predicted YES

Follow up market:

The ceasefire has collapsed and fighting has resumed. So I intend to resolve this YES but I will wait for 24 hours for opposing arguments.

bought Ṁ10,000 of YES

@Akzzz123 https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/saudi-foreign-ministry-calls-sudan-factions-agree-new-ceasefire-2023-06-04/

The hostilities resumed otherwise it wouldn't make sense to call for a new ceasefire.