Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of June 7th?
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Ṁ1kṀ27kresolved Jun 8
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End of day for Israel
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@riverwalk3 it's super uncertain at this point, idk if that's 50/50 uncertain, but yeah
The US also seems to be playing intermediary at the moment?
https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/will-israel-invade-rafah-in-may-202?r=TmV2aW5XZXRoZXJpbGw
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@NevinWetherill The issue is that Israel wants to continue the war after the hostages are released and Hamas wants fully end the war. Imo the only deal that could occur is one where much fewer hostages are released.
