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@strutheo resolves ‘No’

@strutheo The day has ended in Israel already, so this can resolve NO.

/strutheo/will-there-be-an-israelhamas-ceasef-9d4386c2f0ad

news?

@strutheo Looks like Hamas accepted a deal, but is is on terms Israel will not agree to

@riverwalk3 it's super uncertain at this point, idk if that's 50/50 uncertain, but yeah

The US also seems to be playing intermediary at the moment?

https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/will-israel-invade-rafah-in-may-202?r=TmV2aW5XZXRoZXJpbGw

More discussion/links over on this question ↑

@NevinWetherill The issue is that Israel wants to continue the war after the hostages are released and Hamas wants fully end the war. Imo the only deal that could occur is one where much fewer hostages are released.

Hamas will send a delegation to Cairo to keep up cease-fire talks - APNEWS May 2nd 2024