Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of June 7th?
Basic
65
แน27kresolved Jun 8
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
End of day for Israel
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน542 | |
| 2 | แน381 | |
| 3 | แน269 | |
| 4 | แน186 | |
| 5 | แน121 |
Sort by:
@riverwalk3 it's super uncertain at this point, idk if that's 50/50 uncertain, but yeah
The US also seems to be playing intermediary at the moment?
https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/will-israel-invade-rafah-in-may-202?r=TmV2aW5XZXRoZXJpbGw
More discussion/links over on this question โ
@NevinWetherill The issue is that Israel wants to continue the war after the hostages are released and Hamas wants fully end the war. Imo the only deal that could occur is one where much fewer hostages are released.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July?
6% chance
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of September 6th?
27% chance
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire before the end of October 7th?
24% chance
When will Gaza have a ceasefire? (before end of which month?) [Israel Hamas Conflict]
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of August 18th?
17% chance
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of August 6th?
12% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?
45% chance
Will there be a ceasefire for at least a month in the Israel-Hamas conflict before 1 Jan 2025?
68% chance