When will there be an Israel-Hamas temporary ceasefire?
470
14kṀ260k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
May 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
June 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
July 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
August 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
September 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
October 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
November 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
December 1st or earlier
Resolved
YES
No ceasefire in 2024
Resolved
NO
January 1st or earlier

Each answer will resolve YES if there is a ceasefire announced between Israel and Hamas before the listed date, and fighting actually stops for atleast one day. The ceasefire, truce, or pause, must be reported by reputable sources and confirmed by Israel and Hamas. The actual stop in fighting can be confirmed by official sources and/or open source intelligence. Each answer will also resolve YES if the war ends before the listed date, and hostilities between Hamas and Israel end. As soon as each date passes (Israel time) without a ceasefire, that answer resolves NO.

Remember: Multiple options can resolve YES. So if there is a ceasefire announced on July 16th, "August 1st or earlier" AND all later answers resolve YES.

If by January 1st, 2025 there is no ceasefire, "No ceasefire in 2024" will resolve YES, and all other markets will have already resolved NO.

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