When will the hostilities in Gaza end?
235
7kṀ97k2028
5%
July 2025 or earlier
9%
August 2025 or earlier
16%
September 2025 or earlier
22%
October 2025 or earlier
24%
November 2025 or earlier
24%
December 2025 or earlier
25%
January 2026 or earlier
27%
February 2026 or earlier
31%
March 2026 or earlier
32%
April 2026 or earlier
38%
May 2026 or earlier
44%
June 2026 or earlier
54%
July 2026 or earlier
58%
August 2026 or earlier
66%
September 2026 or earlier
The market will resolve positively as soon as one of the following conditions is fulfilled:
A ceasefire is established and holds for 90 days.
Israel announces the conclusion of the military operation and doesn’t renew the offensive within the next 90 days.
Hamas ceases to exist and is not replaced within the next 90 days by a similar organization that would continue active resistance in Gaza.
The state of Israel ceases to exist.
In all cases the target date is the start of the respective period, but the resolution date (except in option 4) is 90 days later.
I do not bet on my own questions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000