Will AI agents be used to develop software commercially by the end of 2023?
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Will any AI solve >=50 IMO problems by the start of 2024?
Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2023?
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?
🐕 Will A.I. Get, "Scarily Better at Helping To Resolve Shipping Supply Chain Issues," by the End of 2024? (HuggingFace)
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2023?
By the end of 2023, will there be a usable AI assistant that interfaces with keyboard and mouse?
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before March 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M subsidy added]
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
By 2025, will Google be in a winning position in the "AI war" against Microsoft?
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?
Will a robot that employs an AI that combines an LLM and a knowledge model be publicly available before January 1, 2024?