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MANIFOLD
By 2026 will there be autonomous AI good enough that I use it?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ105
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
YES

  • Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the following:

    • Agentic coding models will count towards a YES resolution, in addition to the initially considered personal assistant models.

    • The market will resolve YES if the creator's usage is frequent enough, based on their personal judgment.

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General update: I currently make occasional use of agentic coding models. When I made this market I was thinking more about personal assistant models, but I do think they count. I don't think I use them enough to resolve this market YES right now, but given that we still have six months to market close I think it's pretty likely this ends up resolving YES.

@vluzko I use these constantly, resolving YES.

What counts as autonomous AI? How are you planning to use it? Why aren't you using any of the currently available AIs?

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