
Who will have the most popular AI assistant at the end of 2025? (judged by active users)
24
1kṀ1364Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
13%
Google
32%
OpenAI
34%
Meta
22%
I will resolve this market shortly after 2025 ends using all the information I can find online. I will also engage with traders and allow everyone to present their arguments. If the available information is not conclusive, then I will wait for the 2024 earning reports to be released early February before making an informed decision and resolving the market. I won’t bet on this market to avoid bias.
I believe each of these companies has a shot. OpenAI through their iPhone integration, Google with their distribution advantage as the default homepage on many devices, and Meta through their popular apps like WhatsApp and Facebook. I’m excited to see how this plays out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best AI model end of August? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best Search AI model end of 2025? (Search Arena Leaderboard)
What will be the most popular AI assistant on smart glasses in 2026?
Who will make the most popular consumer AI device in 2026?
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Which company has best Computer Agent AI model end of 2025? (Computer Agent Arena Leaderboard)
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2025?
Will a major AI lab claim to use activation steering in its main chat assistant by EOY 2025?
25% chance