Will OpenAI demo a desktop or browser assistant that automates white-collar tasks before 2026?
32
215
Ṁ792Ṁ755
2026
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
If all of the following criteria are met, this question resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.
1. Showcase Event: OpenAI must publicly showcase an AI assistant between January 1st, 2024, and January 1st, 2026. The AI assistant must demonstrate the ability to control a virtual desktop or browser environment.
2. Task Performance: The AI assistant must perform a series of routine white-collar job tasks which are specified in advance and observable by the public during the showcase. The tasks must be completed with minimal human correction, defined as less than 15% of tasks requiring human intervention in the task completion process, across tasks shown in the demo.
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