Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
47
1kṀ15k2029
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
1% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
1% chance
Is Asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory to hit Earth?
2% chance
Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?
2% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Moon in December of 2032?
6% chance
Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?
2% chance
Will any organisation launch a mission with the aim of adjusting the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4?
2% chance
Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032
1% chance
If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?
47% chance
Asteroid 2024‑YR4 Closest Approach Distance in Dec 2032