Will we redirect another asteroid by April 1, 2029?
Basic
12
Ṁ7712025
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if after April 1, 2024 and by the end of April 1, 2029 (UTC), anyone successfully redirects an asteroid.
The DART mission (which took place before the time window for this question) is an example.
It will count as a successful asteroid redirection if the trajectory change is measurable, even if it was different than planned.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
It's inevitable, I'm afraid. Did you not see yesterday's news? https://twitter.com/AnthonyNAguirre/status/1774822934105997425
@HarrisonNathan That was exactly what inspired this question! Otherwise I wouldn't have used April 1 as the date haha
Related questions
Related questions
Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?
46% chance
By 2040, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?
40% chance
Will there be a successful asteroid deflection by 2050?
25% chance
will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030
30% chance
Will humanity be mining asteroids by 2100?
75% chance
Will any country attempt to weaponize an asteroid by 2075?
25% chance
Will we mine an asteroid by 2034?
16% chance
What will be true about asteroid mining by end of 2060?
Will 1 ton of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2075?
75% chance
Will a meteorite cause property damage or injury on Earth in 2024?
62% chance