
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
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8%
chance
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https://x.com/Astro_Jonny/status/1886742128199336362
To clarify - at any point on or before Dec 31, 2026, NASA gives >=50% chance of the asteroid hitting Earth
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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