MANIFOLD
Will people like the US x Venezuela resolution?
41
Ṁ1kṀ11k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES

Read this:

#3 in the Highest Holders Polls market series, following 1 and 2. The market in question is /AlexanderTheGreater/military-conflict-between-the-us-an.

I will ask the top 12 holders for YES and top 12 holders for NO whether they liked the resolution by DMing them. Votes will be anonymous.

The holders will have 72 hours to respond to my DM, then after that votes will not be tallied. Resolves to the side with more votes. If the market never resolves, this market resolves to a random number via @FairlyRandom.

Nonsense legal mumbo jumbo (don't read):

Resolves YES if the Bay Area ceases to exist before close. Resolves NO if New York ceases to exist before close. Resolves N/A if AGI comes next Friday the 13, and resolves 67% if I hear someone say 67 within 2 hours of creating this market, except anyone I am blood related to. If @JeromeHPowell trades on this market, he can't say 67 on a call with me for the week after his initial trade or I'll resolve it to the side he's trading against. If a nuclear bomb is detonated in the next year, I'll resolve this to the first two digits of the longitude coordinate of the epicenter of where the bomb was dropped.

  • Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will tag people in comments rather than DM them individually. Respondents should send their votes via DM to the creator.

  • Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Voters can choose to vote either publicly (by replying to the comment) or anonymously (by DMing the creator).

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ636
2Ṁ193
3Ṁ119
4Ṁ117
5Ṁ73
Sort by:

Current vote tally (up to date): 6 YES vs. 2 NO

IMPORTANT! TAGGED USERS: You are all eligible to cast your vote in this market. If you would like your vote to be anonymous, DM me with your vote, if you're fine voting publicly, you can reply to this comment.

@Emanuele1000 @VonGadke @Rachell @TravisCarr @CornCasting @DanzoAlerantos @copiumarc @Echale1Palo2Mas3Palo @Gabrielle @goldduck @Gugra @realDonaldTrump @Dynd @skibidist @ChadCotty @Trazyn @10thOfficial @RatUziCat @ermitsou @FlorisvanDoorn @ouroboros @DanielTilkin @Ziddletwix @syliyth

Current vote tally (up to date): 6 YES vs. 2 NO

IMPORTANT! TAGGED USERS: You are all eligible to cast your vote in this market. If you would like your vote to be anonymous, DM me with your vote, if you're fine voting publicly, you can reply to this comment.

@Emanuele1000 @VonGadke @Rachell @TravisCarr @CornCasting @DanzoAlerantos @copiumarc @Echale1Palo2Mas3Palo @Gabrielle @goldduck @Gugra @realDonaldTrump @Dynd @skibidist @ChadCotty @Trazyn @10thOfficial @RatUziCat @ermitsou @FlorisvanDoorn @ouroboros @DanielTilkin @Ziddletwix @syliyth

@realDonaldTrump I, as an eligible voter, thought the resolution was good!

@realDonaldTrump The resolution seems fine to me

@realDonaldTrump No problem with the resolution.

@realDonaldTrump resolution was fine, although I would've waited until tomorrow.

@DanzoAlerantos What's your final vote, YES or NO?

@realDonaldTrump No problem with the resolution

@realDonaldTrump I am negative mana, so I'll just say it: my vote is no, I am not fine with the resolution but I get why it got resolved

@realDonaldTrump i would vote NO, but FWIW that's strictly on the timing of the resolution. it seems more likely than not to resolve YES, but there's substantial enough uncertainty on the details I would wait to give time for there to be further reporting on it (whether the market is closed or open in the meantime). so it's totally fine for the creator to make a ruling based on the available info at the time, but for a literal "do I like this resolution", IMO I would have waited a while to resolve.

@Ziddletwix Counting this officially as a NO vote.

@Trazyn thanks for the ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ despite not being find with the resolution!

@realDonaldTrump I liked the resolution 👍

Hey would anyone object if I tag people here rather than DM them? And people could just send me a DM with their answer, it would save me a lot of time

@realDonaldTrump

resolves 67% if I hear someone say 67 within 2 hours of creating this market

@Quroe I am not in public rn, I am at my cousin's house.

@realDonaldTrump You soft dox yourself whenever you make a market like this. Got it. 😆

@Quroe well there are thousands of people at their cousin's house right now

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy