MANIFOLD
Will the US actually "run" Venezuela?
25
Ṁ1kṀ2.5k
Dec 31
12%
chance

Resolves YES if, according to my entirely subjective opinion, the United States government assumes effective control over Venezuela for any contiguous duration of time lasting at least two weeks in the next year. Resolves NO if no such period occurs by December 31st, 2026. This can occur directly via military occupation or as a result of a government which is subservient enough to be effectively controlled by the US. As this resolves entirely according to my subjective opinion, I will not bet.

Market context
Politics
Latin America
Venezuela
LatAm & Caribbean
Nicolas Maduro
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Relevant market: [Will President Maduro be removed from office before [Date]?]

https://manifold.markets/dynamics/when-coup-in-venezuela-will-a-new-g

How many of them soldiers Uncle Sam sends has ever been outside the US ?
And are they old enough to buy a beer in their home country ?

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