Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (read description)
22
400Ṁ780Jul 24
46%
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After a trader first bets, this market will randomly close and resolve to the last trader's first bet ending probability, with probability 1/100. Use limit orders if you wish to accurately set your final probability.
Upon market close, the last 10 traders will be managrammed 100 mana from me.
"Come from a laboratory" includes both an accidental lab leak and an intentional release. It also counts if COVID was found in the wild, taken to a lab for study, and then escaped from that lab without any modification.
I will not trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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